Market pressure
Listings, stock-on-market, vacancy, asking rents, and stale-listing pressure. SQM public pages are marked terms-review-required before automation.
National view
Risk heat layer
Downturn risk
All states
Downturn risk score
Blends stress, employment deterioration, weaker sales momentum, rising stock or vacancy, supply risk, and confidence.
Scenario values show how the interface behaves. Real values will come from approved ABS, DEWR, state sales, RBA/APRA, and selected enrichment sources.
Rankings
States to watch
Drilldown
Significant places
Evidence model
What data this will use
Prices and turnover
State Valuer-General and land registry sales data for median price, sales volume, turnover, and price momentum where licences allow derived outputs.
Income and household structure
ABS Census and ABS Data by Region for household income, single/dual-income proxies, couple families with/without children, lone-person households, rent, mortgage repayments, and tenure.
Macro stress
DEWR Small Area Labour Markets for unemployment, ABS Building Approvals for supply pipeline, and RBA/APRA for arrears and credit-condition overlays.
Source attribution
Review evidence and link-backs
Downturn flags
What turns an area red?
- Total stock rises while new listings are normal or falling.
- Days on market and vendor discounting both trend higher.
- Mortgage stress, arrears, or unemployment accelerate together.
- Price-to-income and repayment-to-income stay stretched after demand weakens.
Upturn flags
What turns an area green?
- Listings stay tight and sales volume recovers from a low base.
- Vacancy is low, rents are firm, and employment is stable.
- Building approvals lag population growth or household formation.
- Affordability improves without a local jobs shock.
Free-source baseline