AU Housing Heatmap

Housing stress and price-cycle signals by state and hotspot

Prototype data model
Layer

National view

Risk heat layer

Downturn risk All states

Scenario values show how the interface behaves. Real values will come from approved ABS, DEWR, state sales, RBA/APRA, and selected enrichment sources.

Rankings

States to watch

Drilldown

Significant places

Evidence model

What data this will use

Free-first sources

Market pressure

Listings, stock-on-market, vacancy, asking rents, and stale-listing pressure. SQM public pages are marked terms-review-required before automation.

Prices and turnover

State Valuer-General and land registry sales data for median price, sales volume, turnover, and price momentum where licences allow derived outputs.

Income and household structure

ABS Census and ABS Data by Region for household income, single/dual-income proxies, couple families with/without children, lone-person households, rent, mortgage repayments, and tenure.

Macro stress

DEWR Small Area Labour Markets for unemployment, ABS Building Approvals for supply pipeline, and RBA/APRA for arrears and credit-condition overlays.

Downturn flags

What turns an area red?

  • Total stock rises while new listings are normal or falling.
  • Days on market and vendor discounting both trend higher.
  • Mortgage stress, arrears, or unemployment accelerate together.
  • Price-to-income and repayment-to-income stay stretched after demand weakens.

Upturn flags

What turns an area green?

  • Listings stay tight and sales volume recovers from a low base.
  • Vacancy is low, rents are firm, and employment is stable.
  • Building approvals lag population growth or household formation.
  • Affordability improves without a local jobs shock.

Free-source baseline

First data targets

ABS DEWR SALM RBA/APRA State sales data Regional Data Hub SQM review